GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colon Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Colon Santa Fe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Acassuso are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Primera Nacional, while Colon Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colon Santa Fe

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Colon Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colon Santa FeDDWWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AcassusoWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Colon Santa FeAcassuso
40.3Attack24.6
73.6Defence59.4
54.2Form30.4
57.1Power40.3
1.12xG0.34
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