Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colo Colo · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Colo Colo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Palestino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Colo Colo hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Primera División, while Colo Colo holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Colo Colo
Probability
70.9%
Model confidence
12.6%
Colo Colo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80