Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colo Colo · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Colo Colo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while O'Higgins are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Colo Colo hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (74.9 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Primera División, while Colo Colo holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Colo Colo
Probability
74.8%
Model confidence
14.1%
Colo Colo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40