Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colo Colo · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Colo Colo are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cobresal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Colo Colo hold a 39.3-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.5% in the Primera División, while Colo Colo holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Colo Colo
Probability
84.5%
Model confidence
84.5%
Colo Colo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80