GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 7/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa y Justicia Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Colón Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Defensa y Justicia Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa y Justicia Res. hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Reserve League, while Defensa y Justicia Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa y Justicia Res.

Probability

55.3%

Model confidence

13.7%

Defensa y Justicia Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colón Res.LWLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Defensa y Justicia Res.LDWLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Colón Res.Defensa y Justicia Res.
27.3Attack63.6
56.1Defence53.0
30.3Form51.5
40.3Power55.0
0.79xG1.60
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