GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Colegiales are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Gimnasia Y Tiro are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ColegialesWWLDD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia Y TiroDLWDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
ColegialesGimnasia Y Tiro
33.3Attack36.1
66.7Defence69.4
43.5Form51.4
49.6Power54.7
0.65xG0.68
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