GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 7/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Colchagua are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Lota Schwager are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Colchagua hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ColchaguaWDDDW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Lota SchwagerLDWDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ColchaguaLota Schwager
38.5Attack35.9
69.2Defence64.1
56.4Form41.0
55.9Power49.1
0.91xG0.59
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