GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Curico Unido · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Colchagua are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Curico Unido are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Curico Unido hold a 46.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Curico Unido holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Curico Unido

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Curico Unido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ColchaguaLLDLD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Curico UnidoLWLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ColchaguaCurico Unido
33.3Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power83.3
1.38xG1.66
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