GGOALVIO

Brazil · Mineiro - 2 · 7/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Villa Nova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Coimbra are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Villa Nova are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Villa Nova hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Mineiro - 2, while Villa Nova holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Villa Nova

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Villa Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CoimbraLDLDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Villa NovaWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CoimbraVilla Nova
40.0Attack51.1
60.0Defence62.2
33.3Form48.9
45.2Power54.5
0.94xG1.16
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