GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 8/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Concepción · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Cobresal are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Concepción are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Concepción hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Primera División, while Concepción holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Concepción

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

13.5%

Concepción has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CobresalLWDLD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ConcepciónWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
CobresalConcepción
44.4Attack37.3
31.5Defence54.9
25.9Form39.2
36.0Power45.5
1.25xG1.44
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