GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 7/17/2026, 3:10:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Tijuana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Club Tijuana are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tigres UANL are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Tijuana hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Liga MX, while Club Tijuana holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Tijuana

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

56.4%

Club Tijuana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club TijuanaWDWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Tigres UANLLWWDD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Club TijuanaTigres UANL
44.4Attack55.6
88.9Defence11.1
77.8Form11.1
72.8Power29.5
2.03xG1.04
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