GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Tijuana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Club Tijuana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cruz Azul are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Tijuana hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Liga MX, while Club Tijuana holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Tijuana

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

12.2%

Club Tijuana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club TijuanaLLDWW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Cruz AzulWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Club TijuanaCruz Azul
44.4Attack77.8
88.9Defence33.3
77.8Form66.7
72.8Power62.6
1.71xG1.30
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