GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Queretaro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Club Queretaro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tigres UANL are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Queretaro hold a 33.1-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the Liga MX, while Club Queretaro holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Queretaro

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

54.8%

Club Queretaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club QueretaroWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tigres UANLDLLWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Club QueretaroTigres UANL
55.6Attack55.6
55.6Defence11.1
66.7Form11.1
62.6Power29.5
2.13xG1.20
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