GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 7/19/2026, 3:10:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club America · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Club Queretaro are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Club America are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Club America hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 74.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Liga MX, while Club America holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club America

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

13.5%

Club America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club QueretaroWDWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Club AmericaLWDDL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Club QueretaroClub America
55.6Attack55.6
55.6Defence88.9
66.7Form77.8
62.6Power74.7
1.34xG1.37
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