Club Nacionalvs
Wanderers
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 7/17/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Club Nacional are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Wanderers are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.4 against 52.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Primera División, while Club Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Club Nacional
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Club Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60