Club NacionalvsRacing Montevideo

Club Nacional are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.