GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 6/6/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Club Nacional are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Juventud are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Nacional hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Primera División, while Club Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Nacional

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

51.5%

Club Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club NacionalLWWDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
JuventudLDDWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Club NacionalJuventud
50.7Attack37.7
55.1Defence50.7
50.7Form34.8
53.4Power43.4
1.66xG0.90
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