Club Nacionalvs
Juventud
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 6/6/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Club Nacional are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Juventud are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Nacional hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Primera División, while Club Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Club Nacional
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Club Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60