Club Nacionalvs
Danubio
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 4/25/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Club Nacional are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Danubio are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Nacional hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Primera División, while Club Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Club Nacional
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Club Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20