GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 5/23/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Club Nacional are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Albion FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.4 against 54.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.7%

Model confidence

34.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club NacionalDWWLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Albion FCDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Club NacionalAlbion FC
50.7Attack46.4
55.1Defence63.8
50.7Form49.3
53.4Power54.3
1.18xG1.14
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