GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Club Leon U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pachuca U21 are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca U21 hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Liga MX U21, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club Leon U21WLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pachuca U21WDDDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Club Leon U21Pachuca U21
33.3Attack44.4
66.7Defence66.7
44.4Form55.6
51.1Power59.1
1.06xG1.02
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