GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tristan Suarez · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Club Atlético Güemes are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Tristan Suarez are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (35.3 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Primera Nacional, while Tristan Suarez holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tristan Suarez

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Tristan Suarez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club Atlético GüemesLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tristan SuarezWWLDW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Club Atlético GüemesTristan Suarez
29.0Attack33.3
39.1Defence82.6
27.5Form60.9
35.3Power61.0
0.38xG1.22
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