GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Martin Tucuman · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Club Atlético Güemes are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while San Martin Tucuman are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Tucuman hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (35.8 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Primera Nacional, while San Martin Tucuman holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Martin Tucuman

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

San Martin Tucuman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club Atlético GüemesWDDDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
San Martin TucumanDDDDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Club Atlético GüemesSan Martin Tucuman
29.2Attack30.6
40.3Defence72.2
27.8Form43.1
35.8Power50.3
0.51xG1.06
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