GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Martin S.J. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Club Atlético Güemes are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Martin S.J. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin S.J. hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (35.3 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Primera Nacional, while San Martin S.J. holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Martin S.J.

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

San Martin S.J. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club Atlético GüemesLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Martin S.J.LWLWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Club Atlético GüemesSan Martin S.J.
29.0Attack34.8
39.1Defence66.7
27.5Form44.9
35.3Power51.3
0.60xG1.23
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