GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club America · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Club America are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santos Laguna are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Club America hold a 55.5-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 19.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.9% in the Liga MX, while Club America holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club America

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

Club America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club AmericaDWLWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Santos LagunaLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Club AmericaSantos Laguna
55.6Attack22.2
88.9Defence22.2
77.8Form0.0
74.7Power19.2
2.18xG0.85
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