GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Club America are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while San Diego are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and club America hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (91.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Leagues Cup, favouring a draw with 10.7% confidence, a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

22.9%

Model confidence

10.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club AmericaWDWDD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
San DiegoDWLLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Club AmericaSan Diego
100.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
91.7Power47.8
2.09xG1.06
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