GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 8/14/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club America · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Club America are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Austin are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Austin hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (91.7 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Leagues Cup, while Club America holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club America

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

11.8%

Club America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club AmericaWWWDW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AustinWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Club AmericaAustin
100.0Attack83.3
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
91.7Power94.8
1.66xG1.47
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