GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club America · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Club America are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atletico San Luis are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Club America hold a 34.6-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Liga MX, while Club America holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club America

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

11.9%

Club America has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club AmericaWWWDW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico San LuisLLDDL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Club AmericaAtletico San Luis
55.6Attack44.4
88.9Defence44.4
77.8Form22.2
74.7Power40.2
1.86xG0.99
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