Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lujan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Claypole are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lujan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lujan hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Primera C, while Lujan holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lujan
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Lujan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80