Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Claypole are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Canuelas are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Canuelas hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60