GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 8/2/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Clarence Zebras · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Clarence Zebras are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ulverstone are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Clarence Zebras hold a 35.6-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.6% in the Tasmania NPL, while Clarence Zebras holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Clarence Zebras

Probability

84.6%

Model confidence

84.6%

Clarence Zebras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Clarence ZebrasWLDDD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
UlverstoneLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Clarence ZebrasUlverstone
54.4Attack27.8
47.4Defence0.0
49.1Form7.4
51.0Power15.3
3.99xG0.89
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