GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 5/2/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Clarence Zebras · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Clarence Zebras are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Riverside are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Clarence Zebras hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Tasmania NPL, while Clarence Zebras holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Clarence Zebras

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Clarence Zebras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Clarence ZebrasLWWLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
RiversideWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Clarence ZebrasRiverside
54.4Attack57.4
47.4Defence38.9
49.1Form44.4
51.0Power46.3
2.33xG1.76
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