GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/11/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Clarence Zebras · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Clarence Zebras are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Clarence Zebras hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Tasmania NPL, while Clarence Zebras holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Clarence Zebras

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Clarence Zebras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Clarence ZebrasWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Glenorchy KnightsLWLLW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Clarence ZebrasGlenorchy Knights
54.4Attack42.6
47.4Defence38.9
49.1Form31.5
51.0Power39.0
2.39xG1.27
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