GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 8/1/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Clarence Zebras II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while New Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.2% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Town

Probability

73.2%

Model confidence

73.2%

New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Clarence Zebras IILWWDL

GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
New TownWLDDW

GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Clarence Zebras IINew Town
77.1Attack100.0
14.6Defence64.6
45.8Form66.7
44.4Power71.0
1.78xG4.50
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