CIVO Unitedvs
Moyale Barracks
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 7/25/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
CIVO United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Moyale Barracks are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Moyale Barracks hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80