GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ciudad de Bolívar are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Ferro Carril Oeste are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ciudad de BolívarWWDWD

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 0.80/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Ferro Carril OesteLWLDW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Ciudad de BolívarFerro Carril Oeste
29.2Attack38.9
70.8Defence69.4
47.2Form63.9
51.6Power59.8
0.56xG0.65
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