GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 6/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ciudad de Bolívar are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Deportivo Moron are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ciudad de BolívarDDWWW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Deportivo MoronWWWLD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ciudad de BolívarDeportivo Moron
28.0Attack54.2
70.7Defence69.4
45.3Form61.1
50.5Power62.2
0.54xG0.91
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