Ciudad de Bolívarvs
Almirante Brown
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 3/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ciudad de Bolívar are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Almirante Brown are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Almirante Brown hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80