GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ciudad de Bolívar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Acassuso are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ciudad de Bolívar hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ciudad de BolívarWLWWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AcassusoDLLLD

GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Ciudad de BolívarAcassuso
29.2Attack24.6
70.8Defence59.4
47.2Form30.4
51.6Power40.3
0.80xG0.39
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