Cittadellavs
Padova
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cittadella · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Cittadella are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Padova are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (80.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cittadella holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cittadella
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
9.4%
Cittadella has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20