GGOALVIO

Cittadella logoCittadellavsPadova logoPadova

COMPLETED

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cittadella · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Cittadella are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Padova are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (80.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cittadella holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cittadella

Probability

68.3%

Model confidence

9.4%

Cittadella has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CittadellaDWLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PadovaLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CittadellaPadova
100.0Attack55.6
73.3Defence44.4
80.0Form44.4
80.7Power51.1
2.73xG1.14
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