GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Circulo Deportivo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Germinal de Rawson are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Germinal de Rawson hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Circulo DeportivoLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Germinal de RawsonDDLDW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Circulo DeportivoGerminal de Rawson
15.8Attack26.3
70.2Defence70.2
29.8Form43.9
41.0Power48.3
0.42xG0.44
View match centre →