Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cigand SE · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cigand SE are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Eger are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Eger hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.0% in the NB III - Northeast, while Cigand SE holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cigand SE
Probability
34.0%
Model confidence
34.0%
Cigand SE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40