GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 8/2/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cienciano are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Universitario are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.0 against 58.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.7%

Model confidence

34.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CiencianoWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
UniversitarioWWWDL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CiencianoUniversitario
58.7Attack46.0
55.6Defence68.3
57.1Form57.1
58.0Power58.7
1.20xG1.12
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