Ciencianovs
Deportivo Garcilaso
SCHEDULEDPeru · Primera División · 8/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cienciano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cienciano are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Primera División, while Cienciano holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cienciano
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
14.5%
Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40