GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/2/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cienciano · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cienciano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Comerciantes Unidos are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Primera División, while Cienciano holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cienciano

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CiencianoWDLWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Comerciantes UnidosWWDDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CiencianoComerciantes Unidos
58.7Attack40.9
55.6Defence56.1
57.1Form39.4
58.0Power47.8
1.71xG0.96
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