Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chrudim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Chrudim are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Varnsdorf are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chrudim hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 38.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the 3. liga - CFL B, while Chrudim holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chrudim
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
9.8%
Chrudim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40