Chorleyvs
Altrincham
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/21/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chorley · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Chorley are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Altrincham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chorley hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chorley holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chorley
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Chorley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20