Chorleyvs
Accrington ST
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chorley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Chorley are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Accrington ST are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chorley hold a 47.2-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 16.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chorley holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chorley
Probability
74.9%
Model confidence
11.2%
Chorley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60