GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chongqing Tongliang Long · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chongqing Tongliang Long are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Wuhan Three Towns are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chongqing Tongliang Long hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Super League, while Chongqing Tongliang Long holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chongqing Tongliang Long

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Chongqing Tongliang Long has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chongqing Tongliang LongWDWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Wuhan Three TownsLDWLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chongqing Tongliang LongWuhan Three Towns
36.2Attack47.6
60.9Defence39.7
43.5Form31.7
49.5Power41.3
1.46xG1.00
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