Chongqing Tongliang Longvs
Sichuan Jiuniu
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 4/17/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chongqing Tongliang Long · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Chongqing Tongliang Long are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sichuan Jiuniu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chongqing Tongliang Long hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Super League, while Chongqing Tongliang Long holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
13.6%
Chongqing Tongliang Long has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40