GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 8/9/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chongqing Tongliang Long are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SHANGHAI SIPG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 49.7 against 50.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Super League, favouring a draw with 14.6% confidence, a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

31.0%

Model confidence

14.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chongqing Tongliang LongLLWDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
SHANGHAI SIPGLWDDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chongqing Tongliang LongSHANGHAI SIPG
37.9Attack52.4
59.1Defence54.0
43.9Form42.9
49.7Power50.9
1.13xG1.19
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